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Innovation Reports - 25/09/2009 Radio Spectrum

Which Conditions for Mobile Broadband and 4G growth? (3rd Edition)

At a time of explosive growth for mobile broadband and the progressive deployment of 4G networks starting next year, new frequency bands are being made available. Digital dividend spectrum was already awarded last year in the US, and is progressively being harmonised in Western Europe. In the meantime, the refarming of the 900 MHz band creates an opportunity for mobile broadband to be made available in rural areas.


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DIGITAL DIVIDEND 
• What is the current status of the digital dividend?
• Is harmonisation going to be achieved in Western Europe for the 800 MHz band?
• What advantages does it bring to mobile operators?
• Which role will it play in 4G development?

900 MHz BAND REFARMING
• Why is refarming of the 900 MHz band important for 3G and 4G developments?
• How can it facilitate coverage of rural areas?
• What is the status of 900 MHz band refarming in the world?

4G SPECTRUM
• Which frequency bands are used today by mobile networks?
• Which frequency bands are going to be used for 4G networks?
• What spectrum requirements will the growth of mobile broadband create?
• What new spectrum will be available in the coming years?
• What will be the price of the new frequency bands?


1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2. METHODOLOGY


3. DIGITAL DIVIDEND
    A unique opportunity for mobile broadband?

3.1. Regulatory situation in Europe
  3.1.1. Status of the analogue TV switch-off
  3.1.2. Action taken by the European Commission

3.2. Technical plan for the 800 MHz band in Europe

3.3. What is the status of the digital dividend status in Western Europe?
  3.3.1. Denmark
  3.3.2. Finland
  3.3.3. France
  3.3.4. Germany
  3.3.5. Switzerland
  3.3.6. United Kingdom
3.4. Digital dividend in the rest of the world
  3.4.1. WRC'07 decision  
  3.4.2. USA
  3.4.3. Japan

4. SPECTRUM REFARMING
    The short term solution for mobile broadband rural coverage?


4.1. A definition of spectrum refarming

4.2. The 900 MHz band at the heart of refarming issues   
  4.2.1. Potential benefits
  4.2.2. The distribution of the 900 MHz spectrum could slow down the refarming processes in some countries
  4.2.3. The GSM Directive
  4.2.4. Other frequency bands

4.3. UMTS 850 and 900 MHz deployments
  4.3.1. Australia
  4.3.2. Finland
  4.3.3. France
  4.3.4. Sweden
  4.3.5. Switzerland
  4.3.6. United Kingdom

5. 4G SPECTRUM
    Which frequency bands and at what cost?

5.1. 4G market projections and impact on spectrum needs
  5.1.1. Market projections
  5.1.2. Spectrum needs

5.2. Which frequency bands are being used in each region?
  5.2.1. Existing bands
  5.2.2. FDD and TDD convergence
  5.2.3. 4G spectrum around the world
  5.2.4. Spectrum used by mobile operators

5.3. 2.6 GHz band status
  5.3.1. FDD/TDD arrangements
  5.3.2. European Commission Decision
  5.3.3. Harmonisation of the 2.6 GHz band is not likely in Europe  
  5.3.4. Japan
  5.3.5. Hong Kong
  5.3.6. South Korea
  5.3.7. USA

5.4. 3.5 GHz band status: potential for 4G over the long term
  5.4.1. Current and future use
  5.4.2. Regulatory context - European Commission
  5.4.3. Status in Europe and in the USA

5.5. S-Band: opportunities for a satellite complement to terrestrial networks

5.6. Strategies of mobile operators
  5.6.1. How to deal with an explosion in data traffic?
  5.6.2. Network sharing and its impact on spectrum valuation

5.7. Spectrum valuation and the cost of 4G spectrum
  5.7.1. Cost of WiMAX spectrum
  5.7.2. Cost of LTE spectrum

5.8. The technological factor       
  5.8.1. Spectrum efficiency gains
  5.8.2. SDR base station facilitate spectrum re-use
  5.8.3. FDD channeling
  5.8.4. OFDMA and spectrum flexibility

Table 1: Broadcast - Analogue switch off timetables 
Table 2: Approaches towards digital dividend in selected countries 
Table 3: Digital Dividend time table 
Table 4: US 700 MHz auctions 
Table 5: Summary of US 700 MHz auctions 
Table 6: 900 MHz band use for 3G – August 2009 
Table 7: Spectrum for mobile operators in the UK 
Table 8: Predicted spectrum requirements by the year 2020 for IMT – 2000 and IMT-Advanced 
Table 9: Main frequency bands for UMTS/HSPA deployment – FDD mode 
Table 10: Main frequency bands for UMTS/HSPA deployment – TDD mode 
Table 11: WiMAX frequency bands 
Table 12: TDD and FDD mode advantages and drawbacks 
Table 13: Frequency bands for 4G technologies 
Table 14: New 4G spectrum 
Table 15: Date of availability of LTE spectrum 
Table 16: FDD mobile spectrum availability in Western Europe 
Table 17: FDD spectrum assets for selected operators (end 2007) 
Table 18: Mobile spectrum in Germany and in the UK 
Table 19: TDD and FDD spectrum arrangements in the 2.6 GHz band 
Table 20: 2.6 GHz award date and conditions 
Table 21: Norwegian 2.6 GHz auctions results 
Table 22: Swedish 2.6 GHz auctions results 
Table 23: 2.6 GHz operators in Japan 
Table 24: Hong Kong 2.6 GHz auction 
Table 25: 3.5 GHz spectrum in Western Europe 
Table 26: Valuation of 2.6 GHz TDD spectrum (for 10 years) 
Table 27: Cost of the 3.5 GHz licenses 
Table 28: Estimates of LTE spectrum value in Western Europe 
Table 29: Spectrum efficiency and data rate per sector 
Table 30: Potential for large radio channels in different frequency bands 
                                                      
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Figure 1: Digital Dividend timetable in Western Europe 
Figure 2: 800 MHz band arrangements 
Figure 3: FDD arrangement for the 800 MHz band 
Figure 4: TDD arrangement for the 800 MHz band 
Figure 5: Digital Dividend time table in Western Europe 
Figure 6: UK - Digital Dividend revised plan 
Figure 7: Digital Dividend in EMEA, Americas and APAC regions 
Figure 8: use of 790 – 862 MHz globally 
Figure 9: Digital Dividend in Japan 
Figure 10: 900 MHz refarming – coverage issues 
Figure 11: CAPEX and OPEX reduction using the 900 MHz band 
Figure 12: GSM 900 spectrum in selected European countries 
Figure 13: GSM 900 spectrum in France 
Figure 14: GSM 900 spectrum in the United Kingdom 
Figure 15: Global LTE adoption forecast _ end 2012 – end 2015 (million subscribers) 
Figure 16: LTE adoption forecast for the EU5 and Scandinavia, 2012 - 2015 
Figure 17: FDD and TDD duplex both supported by LTE 
Figure 18: Availability of new spectrum in Western Europe 
Figure 19: Cumulative spectrum in Western Europe
Figure 20: The CEPT and European band plans for the 2.6 GHz band 
Figure 21: The 3.5 GHz band in Europe 
Figure 22: S-Band in Europe
Figure 23: Options for mobile operators facing congestion and/or coverage difficulties 
Figure 24: Operators' objectives and solutions 
Figure 25: Cost of new mobile licenses/spectrum 
Figure 26: 3.5 GHz arrangements for mobile services 
Figure 27: Description of OFDM



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